Heat vs Mavericks Preview: NBA Records, Form and Head-to-Head

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【NBA】10/27 獨行俠 vs 熱火賽前分析|戰績、近況與對戰數據

Heat vs Mavericks (MIA vs DAL) is a 2026-27 NBA regular-season game, tipping off Tuesday, December 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM. This preview covers both teams’ records so far this season, their home/road splits and head-to-head results from 2025-26, and what to watch in this game. All data is current as of 2026-10-28 and comes from official box scores via balldontlie.

Records so far this season: Heat 0-4 (4 games); Mavericks 2-2 (4 games). The sample is still small, so the figures below are mainly from the 2025-26 regular season and serve as background only.

Heat vs Mavericks game information

Tip-off (ET)Tuesday, December 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM
Competition2026-27 NBA regular season
AwayMiami Heat (MIA)
HomeDallas Mavericks (DAL)

Heat vs Mavericks: this season’s meetings

The teams have met 1 time in 2026-27: the Heat have won 0 and the Mavericks 1.

DateMatchup (away @ home)Score (away-home)WinnerTop scorers
10/26Mavericks @ Heat113-109MavericksCooper Flagg 29; Giannis Antetokounmpo 29

Heat vs Mavericks: season stats compared

Records and scoring come from balldontlie; shooting, rebounding and other box-score details come from ESPN (compiled by SportsDataverse/hoopR). Shooting percentages are total makes divided by total attempts.

HeatMavericks
Record0-42-2
Points per game109.0112.5
Opp. points per game121.8116.0
Field-goal %43.2%49.4%
3-point %30.6%34.2%
3-pointers made per game12.212.5
Rebounds per game40.543.0
Assists per game24.827.0
Turnovers per game14.518.5
Box-score sample4 games4 games

Heat and Mavericks: leading scorers lately

The Heat’ top five scorers over their last 4 games (games played only):

PlayerGPPTSREBAST
Giannis Antetokounmpo428.59.55.0
Davion Mitchell418.00.87.0
Bam Adebayo411.87.23.5
Bobby Portis410.28.01.2
Klay Thompson49.01.80.8

The Mavericks’ top five scorers over their last 4 games (games played only):

PlayerGPPTSREBAST
Cooper Flagg325.05.36.3
Kyrie Irving319.03.73.7
P.J. Washington415.57.51.5
Naji Marshall313.73.35.7
Max Christie49.24.22.5

Miami Heat: 2025-26 regular season in review

The Heat played 82 games in the 2025-26 regular season and finished 43-39, scoring 120.9 points per game and allowing 118.5, for a net of 2.3. Combined scoring in their games averaged 239.4 points, which is the starting point for any totals read.

2025-26 regular seasonGamesRecordPPGOpp PPG
Full season8243-39120.9118.5
Home4126-15123.5118.3
Road4117-24118.3118.8
Final 10 games105-5125.8126.2

They recorded 26-15 at home and 17-24 on the road, averaging 5.2 more points per game at home. Heat is the visiting team in this matchup. They did not qualify for the playoffs last season.

Dallas Mavericks: 2025-26 regular season in review

The Mavericks played 82 games in the 2025-26 regular season and finished 26-56, scoring 114.1 points per game and allowing 119.6, for a net of -5.5. Combined scoring in their games averaged 233.8 points, which is the starting point for any totals read.

2025-26 regular seasonGamesRecordPPGOpp PPG
Full season8226-56114.1119.6
Home4116-25116.3119.9
Road4110-31111.9119.4
Final 10 games103-7116.8124.3

They recorded 16-25 at home and 10-31 on the road, averaging 4.4 more points per game at home. Mavericks is the home team in this matchup. They did not qualify for the playoffs last season.

Heat vs Mavericks head-to-head last season

The two teams met 2 times in the 2025-26 regular season: Heat won 1 and Mavericks won 1.

DateHomeAwayScore (home-away)Winner
2025-12-03MavericksHeat118-108Mavericks
2025-11-24HeatMavericks106-102Heat

2 games are a limited sample, and both rosters changed in the offseason. This record reflects last season’s matchup results and does not establish that the same pattern will continue this season.

What to watch in this game

  • Tempo gap: combined scoring averaged 239.4 points in Heat games and 233.8 in Mavericks games last season, a gap of 5.6. Which way this one trends is the first readable signal.
  • Fourth quarters: last season Heat averaged 29.0 points and allowed 28.8 in the fourth; Mavericks averaged 27.3 and allowed 28.0.
  • Early-season sample: records this early are a small sample. A game or two can swing on scheduling, injuries and rotation changes, so judge each team alongside last season’s numbers and the games still to come.
  • Injuries and starters: this preview does not speculate on player availability or projected lineups. Consult the official NBA injury report before tip-off.

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This article presents public data only and does not include Mysports.AI model predictions. Mysports.AI provides daily AI predictions for NBA moneyline, point spread and totals markets. To review the AI analysis of this matchup, contact our support team on Telegram to request free access.

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Previews for other games around the same date:

Marco Wen

Data & Algorithm Engineer

Marco Wen is the data engineer and algorithm engineer at Mysports.AI, responsible for developing the NBA and MLB prediction models. His work spans data cleaning, feature engineering, model training, validation and monitoring.

Frequently asked questions

What time do the Heat and Mavericks tip off?

Tuesday, December 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.

Is this a regular-season or preseason game?

This is a 2026-27 NBA regular-season game, and the result counts toward both teams’ regular-season records.

How did these two teams fare against each other last season?

They met 2 times in the 2025-26 regular season: Heat won 1, Mavericks won 1. Scores: 118-108, 106-102. That is a 2-game sample and both rosters changed over the summer, so treat it as background only.

Can last season’s numbers predict this game?

Only to a limited extent. Last season’s numbers reflect last season’s rosters. After summer trades, signings and draft picks, both teams need to be reassessed as this season’s games come in.

How do I get the Mysports.AI prediction?

Model predictions are not published in these articles. Message Mysports.AI support on Telegram to request free access, which covers that day’s complimentary game and may not include a specific matchup.

Data current as of 2026-10-28. Scores and schedule from balldontlie; team box scores and player stats from ESPN, compiled by SportsDataverse/hoopR. Advanced metrics, injury reports and starting lineups are not included. This article is a data summary and does not constitute betting advice. You must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction.

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