2026 World Cup AI Predictions: Every Match Score & Winner

The 2026 World Cup AI score predictions are in for every remaining match — and the model is on a serious run. Through the Round of 32 and Round of 16, Mysports.AI has called 19 of 22 knockout ties correctly (86%), including the latest results as Spain edged Portugal and Belgium thrashed the USA. This page predicts every match left in the tournament, with an AI pick, a win probability and a predicted scoreline, all the way to the final.

France remains the AI’s predicted champion. Les Bleus have won all five of their matches and are the model’s favourite to lift the trophy at the MetLife Stadium in New York/New Jersey on July 19. Below you will find every Round of 16, quarterfinal, semifinal and final prediction — plus a fully graded record of how the model has actually performed so far. All kick-off dates are shown in US Eastern Time (ET).

💡 Also read: 2026 World Cup AI Predictions: Round of 16 Picks, Odds & Track Record

The AI’s Track Record: 19 of 22 Knockout Ties Correct

Before trusting a prediction, it is fair to ask how accurate the model has been. So far in the 2026 World Cup knockouts, Mysports.AI has gone 14 of 16 in the Round of 32 and 5 of 6 in the Round of 16 — a combined 19 from 22, or 86%. We grade every pick, including the misses.

All three misses were the games the model itself flagged as coin-flips or shocks: Germany and the Netherlands were both eliminated on penalties in the Round of 32 after 1–1 draws, and Brazil were stunned 2–1 by Norway in the Round of 16. Just as telling, the model’s two riskiest Round of 16 calls — Spain (62%) over Portugal and Belgium (52%) over the USA — both landed. A well-calibrated model gets the clear games right and is honest about the close ones.

Round of 16 AI Predictions: Every Match

Six of the eight Round of 16 ties are settled and the AI went 5 of 6 — only Brazil’s shock exit to Norway went against the model. The two remaining ties, Argentina vs Egypt and Switzerland vs Colombia, are predicted below with a projected scoreline. Results shown are final; predicted scores are model estimates for matches not yet played.

Date (ET)	Fixture	AI Pick	Win %	Score / Result
Jul 4	Canada vs Morocco	Morocco	65%	0–3 Morocco ✅
Jul 4	Paraguay vs France	France	82%	0–1 France ✅
Jul 5	Brazil vs Norway	Brazil	68%	1–2 Norway ❌
Jul 5	Mexico vs England	England	55%	2–3 England ✅
Jul 6	Portugal vs Spain	Spain	62%	0–1 Spain ✅
Jul 6	USA vs Belgium	Belgium	52%	1–4 Belgium ✅
Jul 7	Argentina vs Egypt	Argentina	80%	Predicted 2–0
Jul 7	Switzerland vs Colombia	Switzerland	51%	Predicted 1–1 (pens)

Argentina are the model’s clearest remaining pick at 80%. The defending champions won Group J with a perfect nine points, and Egypt — through on penalties against Australia — are not expected to trouble Lionel Messi’s side, with a predicted 2–0. Switzerland vs Colombia is a genuine coin-flip: both won their groups with seven points and near-identical goal differences, so the model leans Switzerland at just 51% and predicts a 1–1 draw decided on penalties.

Quarterfinal AI Predictions: Every Match

Three quarterfinals are already set — France vs Morocco, Spain vs Belgium and Norway vs England — while the fourth awaits the last two Round of 16 games. Here is the AI’s prediction and projected scoreline for each last-eight tie.

Date (ET)	Fixture	AI Pick	Win %	Predicted Score
Jul 9	France vs Morocco	France	66%	2–0
Jul 10	Spain vs Belgium	Spain	58%	2–1
Jul 11	Norway vs England	England	54%	2–1
Jul 11	Argentina/Egypt vs Switzerland/Colombia	Argentina	72%	2–1

France vs Morocco is the pick of the round on paper, but the AI still makes France clear favourites at 66% despite Morocco’s giant-killing run past the Netherlands and Canada. Spain vs Belgium is tighter than the 58% suggests — Belgium have quietly reached the last eight — while Norway vs England is almost a toss-up, with England edged ahead at 54% after Norway proved against Brazil that their attack can hurt anyone.

The Teams Still Standing

With the Round of 16 almost complete, here are the sides the AI still rates as live contenders, and why the model ranks them where it does.

• France (≈22%) — five wins from five and only two goals conceded all tournament. The clear favourite and predicted champion.
• Argentina (≈17%) — the defending champions, with a favourable draw, though they nearly went out against Cabo Verde in the Round of 32.
• Spain (≈15%) — conceded zero goals in the group stage and ground out a 1–0 win over Portugal to reach the last eight.
• England (≈11%) — Tuchel’s side beat Mexico 3–2 in a thriller and face Norway next in the quarterfinals.
• Morocco (≈7%) — the giant-killers who knocked out the Netherlands and Canada, now standing between France and the semifinals.
• Belgium (≈5%) — quietly into the last eight after a 4–1 win over the USA, meeting Spain next.
• Norway (≈5%) — the shock-makers who dumped out Brazil, and the model’s leading dark horse.
• Plus the winners of Switzerland vs Colombia and Argentina vs Egypt to complete the final eight.

Semifinal & Final: The AI’s Projected Path to the Trophy

Projecting the full bracket forward, the model’s most likely semifinalists are France, Spain, England and Argentina. That points to a projected final of France vs Argentina — a rematch of the 2022 showpiece — with France predicted to win it 2–1 and lift a third World Cup. These projections update after every result, so an upset like Norway’s win over Brazil can redraw the path in an instant.

The bottom half of the draw is the more open. If Argentina come through their quarterfinal as expected, the AI sees them as the most likely team to deny France, while England and Norway are the dark horses capable of upsetting the projection on the other side.

AI Predicted Champion: France

France are the AI’s predicted 2026 World Cup champion, with the highest title probability of any remaining team at around 22%. They are the only side left with a perfect record — five wins from five — and have conceded just twice in the entire tournament, the meanest defence in the draw. Argentina (around 17%) and Spain (around 15%) are the closest challengers, while Brazil, Germany and the Netherlands are all already out.

For the full title-odds breakdown of every remaining contender, see our 2026 World Cup winner prediction, which ranks all the sides still standing.

How the AI Predicts Each Scoreline

Every prediction on this page is built from data, not opinion. The model weighs each team’s tournament form — points, goal difference, goals scored and conceded — against the strength of the opponents they have faced, then adds context such as home advantage for the host nations. That produces a win probability, which is then translated into the most likely scoreline for a match not yet played.

Predicted scorelines are estimates, not certainties: knockout football turns on red cards, injuries and penalty shootouts no dataset fully captures. For a deeper look at the method, read how Mysports.AI predicts the World Cup.

Bet Responsibly

AI predictions are a decision-support tool, not a guarantee. Even an 86% track record means roughly one in seven picks is wrong, and predicted scorelines are the hardest calls of all. Treat every probability and scoreline here as one input among many, set a budget you can afford to lose, and never chase losses. If betting stops being fun, step away and seek support.

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